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	<title>Comments on: Shift Happens</title>
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	<description>Interface Design &#38; UX by Joshua Porter</description>
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		<title>By: black jack online</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-281970</link>
		<dc:creator>black jack online</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2009 16:29:05 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>106 million users on myspace: a very large quantity of those users are fake (i.e. fans making pages of howard stern, their favorite cafes, bars, whatever).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>106 million users on myspace: a very large quantity of those users are fake (i.e. fans making pages of howard stern, their favorite cafes, bars, whatever).</p>
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		<title>By: kimmen</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-156091</link>
		<dc:creator>kimmen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Apr 2008 15:58:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-156091</guid>
		<description>more than 100 million users on myspace</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>more than 100 million users on myspace</p>
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		<title>By: Samuel</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-145316</link>
		<dc:creator>Samuel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Aug 2007 20:27:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-145316</guid>
		<description>This movie is bullshit. Made by someone who lacks the most basic of critical thinking skills and has absolutely no grasp of statistics. Eradicated this turd off the internet.  My comments below: 

Quick and dirty: read my analysis while watching the video....



1) NO sources for any of the so called information are sorted. Biggest red flag for any thing you ever read. Be wary of this for anything you watch/read.

2) The beginning numbers make no sense. &quot;If you&#039;re one in a million in China, there are 1300 people just like you.&quot;  What does that mean? that there are 1300 chinese per american? It&#039;s bad writing, I can&#039;t figure it out, but if that&#039;s implying that I stated formerly, it&#039;s way off. US pop ~300million, PRC pop ~ 1.2 billion, making a ratio of one to four.

3) Where do they get this IQ information from China???  China is NOTORIOUS and it is widely known that they MAKE UP THEIR FUCKING STATISTICS.  Even if they weren&#039;t, are the IQ tests given to Chinese and Indian people equivalent to US IQ tests?

4) China becoming #1 english speaking country in world: True. They have the largest population on the planet, and English is the international global language. No fucking surprise there.

5) (Just a tidbit--any Dept. of Labor of stats come from... you guessed it... THE CENSUS BUREAU!!!! Census collects all the data and shits it out to ALL government department for them to present it)

6) DOL says 10-14 jobs by age of 38: Does that mean 10-14 different companies? or 10-14 different POSITIONS within companies combined with changing firms?

7) &quot;We are currently preparing students for jobs that do not yet exist.&quot;  Who cares? that&#039;s always been the case. You learn everything ON THE JOB. The purpose of the educational system in this company is to strip you of creativity and prepare you for a cubicle existence. To be less cynical (amazingly enough for me), it speaks of technologies that haven&#039;t been invented yet. But these students are learning THE FOUNDATIONS AND BACKGROUNDS UPON THESE NEW TECHNOLOGIES WILL BE BUILT.

8) Re England in 1900: Highest standard of living: blatantly false, unless you were part of the aristocracy. Vast majority of the population slaved in dangerous and horrible industrial labor conditions to serve the upper classes.

9) &quot;The US is 20th in Broadband Penetration.&quot; The US is a HUGE country, with the vast majority of our population living on the two coasts. We have vast swaths of interior (Montana, Wyoming, etc) land and very sparsely populated area where it is not cost feasible (yet) to bring broadband to a rancher&#039;s house who lives in an area with a population of one person per square mile. What do they expect? To line up a wire a hundred miles to one farm house? Luxembourg (asides from Andorra and other tiny countries) is a fucking tiny country. You can run the broadband from one building.

10) &quot;1 of 8 couples married met online&quot;   SOURCE??? HUH?? where is this INFO COMING FROM???

11) 106 million users on myspace: a very large quantity of those users are fake (i.e. fans making pages of howard stern, their favorite cafes, bars, whatever).

12) &quot;540,000 words in English language.&quot;  Flat out WRONG. It is IMPOSSIBLE to count the words in an language. Slang and dialect are big reasons for this. What exactly constitutes an &quot;english&quot; word? Either way, I know for sure that while it&#039;s impossible to say, the most respected experts in linguistics put the range around 800,000 to 1 Million words.

13) Re: NY Times: A huge amount of space of the NY Times includes advertisements, for rent and for sale ads, pictures, etc. What defines information? Cannot information in the 17th century be received outside written words? This statement makes no sense and is in my opinion ridiculous.

14) Re: technological info doubling every 2 years: Wrong. The writer is referring to Moore&#039;s law, not the same. Anyway, this does NOT mean that the info learned two year before would be obsolete, for it is necessary to understand what is coming out now. Back in the day, I had to learn how to use basic before the first windows came out.

15) &quot;E-paper cheaper than real paper&quot;  What the fuck does that mean?  That looking at a computer screen is cheaper than  going through the arduous process of logging, processing, milling, pressing, printing?  Who would have thought?

16) Re: 2013 supercomputer exceeding computational ability of human brain:  STUPID. Computers 20 years ago could do that. Can you multiply 159,321,058 X 182,044,100 in your head? A computer in 1987 could. Computers in 1987 ran the THE ENTIRE FUCKING NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE.

17) Re: by 2023 computers will exceed capabilities of human brain:  HUH? what capabilities? Emotional? Creativity? Learning? Consciousness? This statement is nonsensical.

18) See #17</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This movie is bullshit. Made by someone who lacks the most basic of critical thinking skills and has absolutely no grasp of statistics. Eradicated this turd off the internet.  My comments below: </p>
<p>Quick and dirty: read my analysis while watching the video&#8230;.</p>
<p>1) NO sources for any of the so called information are sorted. Biggest red flag for any thing you ever read. Be wary of this for anything you watch/read.</p>
<p>2) The beginning numbers make no sense. &#8220;If you&#8217;re one in a million in China, there are 1300 people just like you.&#8221;  What does that mean? that there are 1300 chinese per american? It&#8217;s bad writing, I can&#8217;t figure it out, but if that&#8217;s implying that I stated formerly, it&#8217;s way off. US pop ~300million, PRC pop ~ 1.2 billion, making a ratio of one to four.</p>
<p>3) Where do they get this IQ information from China???  China is NOTORIOUS and it is widely known that they MAKE UP THEIR FUCKING STATISTICS.  Even if they weren&#8217;t, are the IQ tests given to Chinese and Indian people equivalent to US IQ tests?</p>
<p>4) China becoming #1 english speaking country in world: True. They have the largest population on the planet, and English is the international global language. No fucking surprise there.</p>
<p>5) (Just a tidbit&#8211;any Dept. of Labor of stats come from&#8230; you guessed it&#8230; THE CENSUS BUREAU!!!! Census collects all the data and shits it out to ALL government department for them to present it)</p>
<p>6) DOL says 10-14 jobs by age of 38: Does that mean 10-14 different companies? or 10-14 different POSITIONS within companies combined with changing firms?</p>
<p>7) &#8220;We are currently preparing students for jobs that do not yet exist.&#8221;  Who cares? that&#8217;s always been the case. You learn everything ON THE JOB. The purpose of the educational system in this company is to strip you of creativity and prepare you for a cubicle existence. To be less cynical (amazingly enough for me), it speaks of technologies that haven&#8217;t been invented yet. But these students are learning THE FOUNDATIONS AND BACKGROUNDS UPON THESE NEW TECHNOLOGIES WILL BE BUILT.</p>
<p> <img src='http://bokardo.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> Re England in 1900: Highest standard of living: blatantly false, unless you were part of the aristocracy. Vast majority of the population slaved in dangerous and horrible industrial labor conditions to serve the upper classes.</p>
<p>9) &#8220;The US is 20th in Broadband Penetration.&#8221; The US is a HUGE country, with the vast majority of our population living on the two coasts. We have vast swaths of interior (Montana, Wyoming, etc) land and very sparsely populated area where it is not cost feasible (yet) to bring broadband to a rancher&#8217;s house who lives in an area with a population of one person per square mile. What do they expect? To line up a wire a hundred miles to one farm house? Luxembourg (asides from Andorra and other tiny countries) is a fucking tiny country. You can run the broadband from one building.</p>
<p>10) &#8220;1 of 8 couples married met online&#8221;   SOURCE??? HUH?? where is this INFO COMING FROM???</p>
<p>11) 106 million users on myspace: a very large quantity of those users are fake (i.e. fans making pages of howard stern, their favorite cafes, bars, whatever).</p>
<p>12) &#8220;540,000 words in English language.&#8221;  Flat out WRONG. It is IMPOSSIBLE to count the words in an language. Slang and dialect are big reasons for this. What exactly constitutes an &#8220;english&#8221; word? Either way, I know for sure that while it&#8217;s impossible to say, the most respected experts in linguistics put the range around 800,000 to 1 Million words.</p>
<p>13) Re: NY Times: A huge amount of space of the NY Times includes advertisements, for rent and for sale ads, pictures, etc. What defines information? Cannot information in the 17th century be received outside written words? This statement makes no sense and is in my opinion ridiculous.</p>
<p>14) Re: technological info doubling every 2 years: Wrong. The writer is referring to Moore&#8217;s law, not the same. Anyway, this does NOT mean that the info learned two year before would be obsolete, for it is necessary to understand what is coming out now. Back in the day, I had to learn how to use basic before the first windows came out.</p>
<p>15) &#8220;E-paper cheaper than real paper&#8221;  What the fuck does that mean?  That looking at a computer screen is cheaper than  going through the arduous process of logging, processing, milling, pressing, printing?  Who would have thought?</p>
<p>16) Re: 2013 supercomputer exceeding computational ability of human brain:  STUPID. Computers 20 years ago could do that. Can you multiply 159,321,058 X 182,044,100 in your head? A computer in 1987 could. Computers in 1987 ran the THE ENTIRE FUCKING NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE.</p>
<p>17) Re: by 2023 computers will exceed capabilities of human brain:  HUH? what capabilities? Emotional? Creativity? Learning? Consciousness? This statement is nonsensical.</p>
<p>18) See #17</p>
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		<title>By: Dan Flanagan</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-120054</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan Flanagan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Apr 2007 17:31:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-120054</guid>
		<description>Is there a way to purchase &quot;Shift Happens&quot;?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is there a way to purchase &#8220;Shift Happens&#8221;?</p>
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		<title>By: Artemij</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-118215</link>
		<dc:creator>Artemij</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Apr 2007 22:02:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-118215</guid>
		<description>Quite interesting, thanks!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Quite interesting, thanks!</p>
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		<title>By: evden eve nakliyat</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-117050</link>
		<dc:creator>evden eve nakliyat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2007 13:45:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-117050</guid>
		<description>thankks</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>thankks</p>
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		<title>By: nakliyat</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116924</link>
		<dc:creator>nakliyat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2007 10:13:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116924</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;&quot; title=&quot;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt; &lt;abbr title=&quot;&quot;&gt; &lt;acronym title=&quot;&quot;&gt; &lt;b&gt; &lt;blockquote cite=&quot;&quot;&gt; &lt;code&gt; &lt;em&gt; &lt;i&gt; &lt;strike&gt; &lt;strong&gt; .&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/strike&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/acronym&gt;&lt;/abbr&gt;&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="" title="" rel="nofollow"> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b><br />
<blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong> .</strong></strike></i></em></code></p></blockquote>
<p></b></acronym></abbr></a></p>
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		<title>By: Michael Butler</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116799</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Butler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2007 04:03:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116799</guid>
		<description>I find this hard to believe: &quot;China has more honor students than the U.S. has students.&quot;

With America being over 25% the size of China that would mean that over 25% of the students in China are honor students. I find that laughable. My son, who is Chinese, goes to a Shanghai school and in his entire school (1,200 students) there is not one honor students- not one! 

Add to this the fact that most Chinese live in very poor, rural areas where most children stop school in Junior High I gotta wonder how in Sam&#039;s Hill this statistic was calculated. 

For now, the only statistic that is important is college entrance rate and I think that you will find that more Americans enter University or college than Chinese (although this will change). 

In the global game, an honor student who hasn&#039;t entered college is still just a high school graduate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I find this hard to believe: &#8220;China has more honor students than the U.S. has students.&#8221;</p>
<p>With America being over 25% the size of China that would mean that over 25% of the students in China are honor students. I find that laughable. My son, who is Chinese, goes to a Shanghai school and in his entire school (1,200 students) there is not one honor students- not one! </p>
<p>Add to this the fact that most Chinese live in very poor, rural areas where most children stop school in Junior High I gotta wonder how in Sam&#8217;s Hill this statistic was calculated. </p>
<p>For now, the only statistic that is important is college entrance rate and I think that you will find that more Americans enter University or college than Chinese (although this will change). </p>
<p>In the global game, an honor student who hasn&#8217;t entered college is still just a high school graduate.</p>
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		<title>By: Kris Meister</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116769</link>
		<dc:creator>Kris Meister</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2007 02:38:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116769</guid>
		<description>How long has the statistics for China and India been true? Were they true through-out the last Century while the US grew to power?

I feel it likely has always been true, or perhaps my view is skewed because of how predominantly a role contraceptives play in our society.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How long has the statistics for China and India been true? Were they true through-out the last Century while the US grew to power?</p>
<p>I feel it likely has always been true, or perhaps my view is skewed because of how predominantly a role contraceptives play in our society.</p>
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		<title>By: Bill H-D</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116653</link>
		<dc:creator>Bill H-D</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Apr 2007 20:27:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116653</guid>
		<description>Two admittedly academic critiques of this piece that I agree with:

1. There is more than a little &quot;yellow peril&quot; rhetoric in the beginning without any direct talk of implications

2. An awful lot of those stats are unattributed (though recognizable from Friedman&#039;s &lt;i&gt;The World is Flat&lt;/i&gt; and Kurzweil&#039;s &lt;i&gt;The Singularity is Near&lt;/i&gt;)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Two admittedly academic critiques of this piece that I agree with:</p>
<p>1. There is more than a little &#8220;yellow peril&#8221; rhetoric in the beginning without any direct talk of implications</p>
<p>2. An awful lot of those stats are unattributed (though recognizable from Friedman&#8217;s <i>The World is Flat</i> and Kurzweil&#8217;s <i>The Singularity is Near</i>)</p>
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		<title>By: Xray</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116596</link>
		<dc:creator>Xray</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Apr 2007 17:24:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116596</guid>
		<description>pauric thank you for such excellent comment.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>pauric thank you for such excellent comment.</p>
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		<title>By: pauric</title>
		<link>http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116555</link>
		<dc:creator>pauric</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Apr 2007 15:30:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bokardo.com/archives/shift-happens/#comment-116555</guid>
		<description>This is a technology focused presentation and while it mostly presents plausible trends it does not factor in anything which may change the direction of technology, such as the environment, caring for aging populations, energy resources etc.  Some would argue that the information age may start to take a back seat to sorting out the potential mess that is climate change.  Essentially a change in technology focus from information to energy.

China and India will be big in terms of headcount, but the resources needed to keep those engines running may face problems as we pass peak oil with accelerating consumption, effectively &#039;stalling&#039;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is a technology focused presentation and while it mostly presents plausible trends it does not factor in anything which may change the direction of technology, such as the environment, caring for aging populations, energy resources etc.  Some would argue that the information age may start to take a back seat to sorting out the potential mess that is climate change.  Essentially a change in technology focus from information to energy.</p>
<p>China and India will be big in terms of headcount, but the resources needed to keep those engines running may face problems as we pass peak oil with accelerating consumption, effectively &#8216;stalling&#8217;.</p>
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